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Richie James

Richie James Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Richie James Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+347/-671).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +362 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +347.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Richie James to be a more important option in his team's pass attack near the goal line this week (14.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played).
  • Richie James has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in an impressive 90.6% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 97th percentile among wideouts.
  • The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
  • The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in football (58.3%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (58.3%).
  • The Dallas Cowboys safeties rank as the 6th-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
  • The New York Giants offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

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