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Richie James

Richie James Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Richie James Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+374/-759).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +389 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +374.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Richie James to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense near the end zone this week (12.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played).
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (70.3%) to wideouts since the start of last season (70.3%).
  • The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box vs. opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Giants have run the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 60.8 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.
  • The New York Giants O-line has afforded their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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