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Richie James

Richie James Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Richie James Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+387/-806).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +403 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +387.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.6 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Richie James to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack near the end zone this week (9.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64%) to WRs this year (64.0%).

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The New York Giants offensive line has given their quarterback a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Dallas Cowboys defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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