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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Tennessee Titans vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • In this game, Rhamondre Stevenson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.7 rush attempts.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more important option in his offense's ground game this year (62.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (51.2%).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has picked up 59.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (77th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Patriots to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Patriots this year (only 56.2 per game on average).
  • This year, the weak Tennessee Titans run defense has surrendered a whopping 4.33 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing teams: the 27th-biggest rate in the league.

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