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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+104/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-most run-focused team in the NFL (42.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 15.3 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.

Rhamondre Stevenson has been a much bigger part of his offense's run game this year (62.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (51.2%).

Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (61.0) this year than he did last year (51.0).

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, New York's collection of DEs has been dreadful this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are a huge favorite in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.7 plays per game.

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