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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (44.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Patriots.

The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 16.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

After taking on 51.2% of his team's carries last year, Rhamondre Stevenson has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this year, currently sitting at 65.8%.

Rhamondre Stevenson has averaged 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in football among running backs (83rd percentile).

With an outstanding tally of 3.58 yards after contact (79th percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson stands among the most effective running backs in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Patriots, who are big -11.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 122.0 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Patriots since the start of last season (just 56.3 per game on average).

The opposing side have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 90.0 per game) vs. the 49ers defense since the start of last season.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, San Francisco's LB corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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