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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 67.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 4th-most run-oriented team in the league (44.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • In this week's game, Rhamondre Stevenson is projected by the projection model to place in the 88th percentile among RBs with 16.1 carries.
  • After making up 51.2% of his team's rush attempts last season, Rhamondre Stevenson has been more involved in the ground game this season, currently making up 63.9%.
  • With a terrific tally of 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson rates as one of the leading pure rushers in the league since the start of last season.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson rates as one of the top RBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an exceptional 3.70 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are huge underdogs in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • The New York Jets defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.21 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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