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Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+104/-142).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ +104.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 15.0 carries in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.Out of all running backs, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 60.8% of the workload in his team's ground game.With a fantastic rate of 56.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (77th percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson has been as one of the best pure rushers in the league this year.When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's DT corps has been very bad this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the league. in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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At a -14-point disadvantage, the Patriots are enormous underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run on 40.0% of their downs: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call only 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) typically lead to increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower rush volume.With an atrocious total of 3.80 adjusted yards per carry (17th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson has been as one of the bottom RBs in football at the position.
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