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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Rhamondre Stevenson is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.7 rush attempts.

After comprising 51.2% of his offense's run game usage last season, Rhamondre Stevenson has had a larger role in the run game this season, now accounting for 61.8%.

Rhamondre Stevenson has generated 58.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (78th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Patriots to run on 41.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Rhamondre Stevenson's ground effectiveness (3.79 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (8th percentile among RBs).

The Miami Dolphins defensive ends grade out as the 7th-best collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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