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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-118/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots as the 8th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 45.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This week, Rhamondre Stevenson is expected by the model to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.2 rush attempts.

Among all running backs, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the 91st percentile for carries this year, comprising 60.9% of the workload in his team's ground game.

Rhamondre Stevenson has generated 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (77th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.

With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.16 seconds per play, the projections expect the New England Patriots as the 4th-slowest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.

Rhamondre Stevenson's ground efficiency (3.80 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (11th percentile among running backs).

The Los Angeles Rams defense owns the 7th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 4.37 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

The Rams defensive ends profile as the best DE corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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