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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 9th-most run-heavy team in football (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Patriots.

In this week's contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 80th percentile among RBs with 13.8 carries.

Among all RBs, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the 84th percentile for carries last year, accounting for 51.2% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

With a remarkable rate of 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (78th percentile), Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the top pure runners in football last year.

Last year, the stout Bengals run defense has given up a measly 4.67 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 25th-lowest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are enormous -9-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.7 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots last year (just 56.2 per game on average).

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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