Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.
Rhamondre Stevenson has earned 51.2% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (38.0) this season than he did last season (59.0).
Rhamondre Stevenson's rushing effectiveness has declined this season, averaging a mere 3.05 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.77 rate last season.
Rhamondre Stevenson has struggled more with grinding out extra running yardage this year, compiling 1.91 yards-after-contact vs a 3.81 mark last year.

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