Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots rank as the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 40.9% run rate.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by the projections to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) usually lead to decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher run volume.
In this week's game, Rhamondre Stevenson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.7 carries.
Among all running backs, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 53.6% of the workload in his team's ground game.

Favors Under

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are massive underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 39.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a a material reduction in his rushing skills over last season's 59.0 figure.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 3.0 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a a noteworthy regression in his running ability over last season's 4.8 rate.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 1.82 yards-after-contact this year illustrates a a significant regression in his running ability over last year's 3.81 mark.
The Bills linebackers rank as the 7th-best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.