Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 42.2% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most run-oriented team in the NFL has been the Patriots.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by our trusted projection set to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Patriots have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 12.4 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has received 53.3% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 36.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a an impressive reduction in his running proficiency over last year's 59.0 rate.
Rhamondre Stevenson's rushing effectiveness has declined this season, accumulating a measly 2.67 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.77 rate last season.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been less successful in grinding out extra running yardage this season, averaging 1.79 yards-after-contact vs a 3.81 mark last season.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's collection of DEs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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