Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to garner 13.1 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has earned 52.4% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has picked up 57.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (80th percentile).
Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the leading RBs in football at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a terrific 3.67 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 97th percentile.

Favors Under

The Patriots rank as the 7th-least run-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 31.4% run rate.
The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have run for the 10th-least yards in the NFL (just 111 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season.

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