Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-109/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Patriots, who are favored by 4.5 points.
The model projects the Patriots to be the 7th-most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New England Patriots.
The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accumulate 16.1 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has received 52.1% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

Rhamondre Stevenson's 48.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a meaningful decrease in his rushing talent over last season's 59.0 rate.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 3.8 adjusted yards per carry this year reflects a meaningful reduction in his rushing talent over last year's 4.8 rate.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 2.66 yards-after-contact this season illustrates a noteworthy decrease in his running ability over last season's 3.81 mark.
The New York Giants defensive tackles profile as the best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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