Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-102/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 6th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to total 17.0 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this year (54.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (34.9%).
The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year at blocking for rushers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 10th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The New York Jets defense has produced the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 4.01 yards-per-carry.
The New York Jets linebackers profile as the 10th-best unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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