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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to total 12.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for many more yards per game (72.0) this year than he did last year (47.0).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's ground effectiveness (4.99 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (77th percentile among running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to be a less important option in his offense's running game this week (43.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.1% in games he has played).

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