Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to total 12.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for many more yards per game (72.0) this year than he did last year (47.0).
Rhamondre Stevenson's ground effectiveness (4.99 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (77th percentile among running backs).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to be a less important option in his offense's running game this week (43.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.1% in games he has played).

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