Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New England Patriots O-line ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Rhamondre Stevenson has averaged 45.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (76th percentile).
Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the leading RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 3.25 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 78th percentile.
The New England Patriots have incorporated some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their plays since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 57.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
Opposing squads have run for the least yards in the NFL (just 83 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends rank as the 6th-best collection of DEs in football since the start of last season with their run defense.
The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.