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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 14.5 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (57.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (34.9%).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has run for quite a few more yards per game (61.0) this season than he did last season (47.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 10th-least run-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.6% run rate.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-least yards in the league (just 108 per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
  • The Miami Dolphins defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.
  • The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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