Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 9th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 14.5 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (57.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (34.9%).
Rhamondre Stevenson has run for quite a few more yards per game (61.0) this season than he did last season (47.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 10th-least run-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.6% run rate.
The New England Patriots have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.9 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-least yards in the league (just 108 per game) versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
The Miami Dolphins defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.
The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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