Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 25, 2022 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to total 13.4 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more important option in his offense's running game this season (56.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (34.9%).
Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for substantially more yards per game (62.0) this year than he did last year (47.0).
Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the best running backs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.60 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has had the 10th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up just 4.36 yards-per-carry.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles profile as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The New England Patriots have been faced with a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.