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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to total 13.4 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more important option in his offense's running game this season (56.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (34.9%).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for substantially more yards per game (62.0) this year than he did last year (47.0).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the best running backs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.60 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defense has had the 10th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, giving up just 4.36 yards-per-carry.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles profile as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The New England Patriots have been faced with a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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