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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+168/-239).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +192 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +168.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 43.7% red zone run rate.

The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.

Opposing teams have rushed for the most touchdowns in football (2.50 per game) against the Detroit Lions defense this year.

The Detroit Lions defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 5th-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.07 seconds per play.

The New England Patriots have gone up against a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the league). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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