Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing TD

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-226).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New England Patriots have utilized some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.
The New England Patriots have gone up against a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box against opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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