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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-108).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Patriots, who are big -11.5-point underdogs.

The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the NFL (35.2 per game) since the start of last season.

With a sizeable 55.1% Route Participation Rate (92nd percentile) since the start of last season, Rhamondre Stevenson stands among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

In this week's game, Rhamondre Stevenson is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.4 targets.

With a remarkable 3.0 adjusted catches per game (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks as one of the top pass-game RBs in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New England Patriots to be the 4th-least pass-focused team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.3% pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 122.0 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Patriots since the start of last season (just 56.3 per game on average).

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots ranks as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season.

Rhamondre Stevenson's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 80.9% to 77.6%.

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