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Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Patriots are a 4-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.In this week's game, Rhamondre Stevenson is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.4 targets.With an extraordinary 11.2% Target Rate (88th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the pass-game running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.Rhamondre Stevenson grades out as one of the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 2.7 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.Rhamondre Stevenson's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 80.9% to 87.6%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 29.16 seconds per play, the projections expect the New England Patriots as the 4th-slowest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.
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