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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are enormous -9-point underdogs.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

With a remarkable 54.8% Route Participation% (92nd percentile) last year, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in football.

In this week's contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is predicted by the predictive model to position himself in the 83rd percentile among RBs with 3.3 targets.

With an impressive 3.2 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) last year, Rhamondre Stevenson rates as one of the leading RBs in the pass game in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.7 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots last year (just 56.2 per game on average).

The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

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