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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots have been the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accumulate 4.9 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the top pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

Rhamondre Stevenson's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 77.6% to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The New York Jets pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (75.6%) to running backs since the start of last season (75.6%).

The New York Jets linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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