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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

With a high 12.5% Target Share (88th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in the NFL.

Rhamondre Stevenson has put up a colossal 0.0 air yards per game this year: 75th percentile when it comes to running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

Since the start of last season, the weak Miami Dolphins defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a monstrous 7.09 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.3% of their chances: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have only 124.5 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 26.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dolphins defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

The Patriots O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass game stats across the board.

Rhamondre Stevenson has accrued quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (10.0) this season than he did last season (20.0).

More Rhamondre Stevenson Player Props

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