My Account Log Out

reorder

Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 6-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

Rhamondre Stevenson's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 80.9% to 85.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 58.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the New England Patriots.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have only 127.0 plays on offense called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

In regards to air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the paltry 13th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -3.0 per game.

Rhamondre Stevenson's 13.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 18.5.

The New England offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

More Rhamondre Stevenson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™