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Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-104).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -118.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.With an exceptional 48.4% Route% (79th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson places among the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the league.This week, Rhamondre Stevenson is projected by the model to find himself in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.2 targets.Rhamondre Stevenson's 84.7% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a remarkable boost in his receiving skills over last season's 80.9% figure.As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Indianapolis's LB corps has been dreadful this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 55.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.As it relates to air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the measly 14th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.Rhamondre Stevenson's 12.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season signifies a remarkable decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 20.0 mark.Rhamondre Stevenson's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, accumulating just 4.01 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 4.95 rate last year.
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