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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are giant -7.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to pass on 59.0% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 3.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.

With an exceptional 11.1% Target Share (89th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson places as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the league.

Rhamondre Stevenson's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 80.9% to 89.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

As it relates to air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the lowly 11th percentile among running backs this year, averaging just -4.0 per game.

When talking about pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the worst in football this year.

Rhamondre Stevenson's 14.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year's 20.0 rate.

Rhamondre Stevenson is positioned as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in football when it comes to running backs, averaging a measly 4.24 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 15th percentile.

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