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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.38 seconds per play.

The predictive model expects Rhamondre Stevenson to earn 3.5 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.

Rhamondre Stevenson has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 11.8% this year, which places him in the 88th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Rhamondre Stevenson's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 80.9% to 87.2%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

In regards to air yards, Rhamondre Stevenson grades out in the measly 19th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.

The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Rhamondre Stevenson's 14.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a substantial diminishment in his receiving talent over last season's 20.0 rate.

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