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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.

Our trusted projections expect Rhamondre Stevenson to total 4.7 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Rhamondre Stevenson profiles as one of the leading pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an impressive 23.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Rhamondre Stevenson has been a much smaller piece of his offense's pass game this year (11.8% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (17.3%).

When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Patriots ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Miami's collection of safeties has been very good this year, ranking as the best in football.

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