Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 68.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to earn 5.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.
Rhamondre Stevenson has put up a paltry -3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 6th percentile among RBs.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.86 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the league.
The Miami Dolphins linebackers profile as the 9th-best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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