Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -4.5-point underdog this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 134.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.2 per game) this year.
In this week's contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is expected by the projections to finish in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.4 targets.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been one of the leading RBs in the pass game this year, averaging an excellent 22.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Rhamondre Stevenson's 19.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 25.3.
This year, the imposing Chargers defense has allowed a mere 79.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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