Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New England Patriots will be forced to use backup QB Bailey Zappe in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 3.5 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more important option in his team's pass attack this season (11.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.3%).
The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in football.

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