Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 2:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New England Patriots will be forced to use backup quarterback Bailey Zappe in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 3.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Rhamondre Stevenson has been a more important option in his offense's passing offense this year (12.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (5.3%).
The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 5th-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.07 seconds per play.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Rhamondre Stevenson's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 81.8% to 75.2%.

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