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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+115/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 6th-most receiving yards per game in football (42.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.
  • The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The New England Patriots have incorporated some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 60.3 plays per game.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has put up a mere -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 8th percentile among running backs.

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