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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries
Player Prop Week 4

San Francisco 49ers vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (44.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Patriots.

The leading projections forecast Rhamondre Stevenson to notch 16.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.

After taking on 51.2% of his team's carries last year, Rhamondre Stevenson has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this year, currently sitting at 65.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Patriots, who are big -11.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 122.0 offensive plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Patriots since the start of last season (just 56.3 per game on average).

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, San Francisco's LB corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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