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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 41.6% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most run-focused team in football has been the New England Patriots.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 6-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have only 127.0 plays on offense called: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

While Rhamondre Stevenson has garnered 59.1% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller piece of New England's run game in this game at 43.0%.

The Los Angeles Chargers safeties project as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.

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