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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 9th-most run-heavy team in football (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Patriots.

In this week's contest, Rhamondre Stevenson is predicted by the projection model to find himself in the 80th percentile among RBs with 13.8 carries.

Among all RBs, Rhamondre Stevenson ranks in the 84th percentile for carries last year, accounting for 51.2% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

The Bengals linebackers profile as the 6th-worst unit in football last year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Patriots, who are enormous -9-point underdogs.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the predictive model to call just 60.7 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the New England Patriots last year (just 56.2 per game on average).

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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