Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.
Rhamondre Stevenson has earned 51.2% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
Favors Under
The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Miami's group of safeties has been excellent this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.