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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to earn 15.8 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots have been the 5th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 33.5% run rate.
  • The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
  • The New York Jets defensive ends grade out as the 4th-best DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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