Rhamondre Stevenson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Carries

New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to earn 15.8 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Patriots have been the 5th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 33.5% run rate.
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
The New York Jets defensive ends grade out as the 4th-best DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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