Rhamondre Stevenson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Rhamondre Stevenson

NFL · Player Props

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · New England Patriots

Carries

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 2, 2022 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Rhamondre Stevenson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 19.1 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Rhamondre Stevenson to be a more important option in his offense's running game this week (71.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (56.1% in games he has played).
The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 24th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 10th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 37.6% run rate.
The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
The New England Patriots have faced a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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