Rex Burkhead Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Rex Burkhead

NFL · Player Props

Rex Burkhead

RB · Houston Texans

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Rex Burkhead Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.
The Las Vegas Raiders safeties grade out as the 30th-worst group of safeties in football this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Rex Burkhead has been a much smaller part of his offense's running game this year (18.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (34.3%).
Rex Burkhead has rushed for significantly fewer yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (31.0).
Rex Burkhead's running effectiveness (3.05 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (23rd percentile among running backs).

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