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Rex Burkhead

Rex Burkhead Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Rex Burkhead Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.56 seconds per snap.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties grade out as the 30th-worst group of safeties in football this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.1% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Rex Burkhead has been a much smaller part of his offense's running game this year (18.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (34.3%).
  • Rex Burkhead has rushed for significantly fewer yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (31.0).
  • Rex Burkhead's running effectiveness (3.05 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (23rd percentile among running backs).

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