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Rex Burkhead

Rex Burkhead Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Rex Burkhead Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-154).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The Texans are an enormous 14.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 5th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Houston Texans have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.4 plays per game.

The Houston Texans offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 9th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Houston Texans offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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