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Rex Burkhead

Rex Burkhead Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Rex Burkhead Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +145.
  • The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The Texans are a heavy 7-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Rex Burkhead to garner 3.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
  • The Indianapolis Colts safeties grade out as the 8th-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

  • The Houston Texans have called the 3rd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 59.1 plays per game.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Houston Texans offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.33 seconds before getting pressured (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Houston Texans have elected to go for it on 4th down just 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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