Rex Burkhead Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

My Account Log Out

reorder

Rex Burkhead

NFL · Player Props

Rex Burkhead

RB · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:41 PM EST

Analysis

Rex Burkhead Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-101/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Rex Burkhead to earn 4.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.
Rex Burkhead's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this year, notching just 4.33 yards-per-target vs a 5.82 figure last year.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. RBs this year, surrendering 5.10 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in football.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.62 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the NFL.

More Rex Burkhead Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow