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Rex Burkhead

Rex Burkhead Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Rex Burkhead Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-101/-131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Houston Texans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 4.5% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Rex Burkhead to earn 4.9 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Texans to run the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Houston Texans have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.7 plays per game.

Rex Burkhead's pass-catching effectiveness has worsened this year, notching just 4.33 yards-per-target vs a 5.82 figure last year.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. RBs this year, surrendering 5.10 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in football.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has performed very well when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.62 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the NFL.

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