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Ray-Ray McCloud

Ray-Ray McCloud Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Ray-Ray McCloud Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Atlanta Falcons offense has played at the 8th-quickest pace in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.94 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Ray-Ray McCloud has been used less as a potential target this season (92.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (32.4%).
  • Ray-Ray McCloud's receiving performance has gotten better this season, accumulating 3.8 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 1.7 last season.
  • With an exceptional 77.5% Adjusted Catch% (93rd percentile) this year, Ray-Ray McCloud places among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Falcons being a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Falcons as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.1 per game) this year.

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