Ray-Ray McCloud Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Ray-Ray McCloud

NFL · Player Props

Ray-Ray McCloud

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 24, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Ray-Ray McCloud Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The predictive model expects Ray-Ray McCloud to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game this week (8.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played).
With an impressive 10.4 adjusted yards per target (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Ray-Ray McCloud places as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.
With a terrific 6.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Ray-Ray McCloud stands among the top wide receivers in the game in football in the open field.
The Vikings defense has surrendered the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (183.0) vs. WRs this year.

Favors Under

This week's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
Ray-Ray McCloud has put up far fewer air yards this season (2.0 per game) than he did last season (16.0 per game).

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